The Jays rating started to climb around the beginning of June and they have continued to separate themselves from the rest of the AL. Their run differential is approaching +100 and their expected wins is now about 17 games over .500. Not quite time to plan the parade, but Jays fans’ expectations ought to be starting to soar.
The Jays have been up and down this year but are now riding a six-game win streak which has brought them back to within one game of .500 – although they are still four games back of the Yankees.
However, the Jays are now +53 in run differential. This, and the fact that they have a sorry 4-12 record in one-run games suggests that they could have had a much better record at this point. The run differential suggests it could be about 34-25 instead of 29-30.
Their rating has also been climbing recently. Who knows? Maybe they’re putting it together … finally.